The odds of a city-killer asteroid impact in 2032 keep rising. Should we be worried?
Two weeks ago, when Ars first wrote about the asteroid, designated 2024 YR4, NASA's Center for Near Earth Object Studies estimated a 1.9 percent chance of an impact with Earth in 2032. NASA's most recent estimate has the likelihood of a strike increasing to 3.2 percent. Now that's not particularly high, but it's also not zero.
Earth, asteroid
Latest observations slash collision probability for asteroid 2024 YR4 from 2.8% to 0.16%, but no further updates are possible until 2028.
When scientists first reported their findings in January, they expected the asteroid’s future trajectory and impact probability to change as observational data was collected and analyzed.
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Don’t lose sleep over asteroid impact odds: Planetary scientistNASA has been revising the odds of an asteroid hitting the Earth in 2032, with recent estimates increasing the chance to 3.1 ...
A Bennu-type asteroid could lead to “severe environmental consequences,” researchers write, while acknowledging that a ...
Since a potentially hazardous asteroid was detected in December, tens of others objects have come close to Earth.
YR4 is a recently discovered near-Earth object (NEO) currently being closely monitored by NASA’s planetary defense teams.
The findings have been crucial for NASA’s planetary defense efforts and critical data for experts assessing the asteroid’s ...
NASA announced that asteroid 2024 YR4 now has a 0.28 percent chance of hitting Earth in 2032, but that number is expected to ...
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