‘City Killer’ Asteroid’s Earth Impact Risk Rises and Falls Again
The asteroid 2024 YR4 probably won’t come nearly as close to Earth anytime soon as the space rock in this artist’s illustration. But astronomers can’t yet rule out a potentially catastrophic encounter projected for December 2032.
The odds of a city-killer asteroid impact in 2032 keep rising. Should we be worried?
Two weeks ago, when Ars first wrote about the asteroid, designated 2024 YR4, NASA's Center for Near Earth Object Studies estimated a 1.9 percent chance of an impact with Earth in 2032. NASA's most recent estimate has the likelihood of a strike increasing to 3.2 percent. Now that's not particularly high, but it's also not zero.
An asteroid between 130 and 300 feet wide has a slight chance of hitting Earth in 2032 — but the precise odds have been a ...
YR4 has grabbed headlines lately, after NASA calculated a 1-in-32 chance of an impact in 2032 – the highest chance ever for ...
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Don’t lose sleep over asteroid impact odds: Planetary scientistNASA has been revising the odds of an asteroid hitting the Earth in 2032, with recent estimates increasing the chance to 3.1 ...
The likelihood of asteroid 2024 YR4 colliding with Earth keeps shifting, according to scientists. The object — which is large ...
Since a potentially hazardous asteroid was detected in December, tens of others objects have come close to Earth.
YR4 is a recently discovered near-Earth object (NEO) currently being closely monitored by NASA’s planetary defense teams.
NASA announced that asteroid 2024 YR4 now has a 0.28 percent chance of hitting Earth in 2032, but that number is expected to ...
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YR4, detected by the ATLAS system in January 2025, has a slim chance of impacting Earth in December 2032. Continued ...
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